- by New Deal democrat
The Senior Loan Officer Survey is a long leading indicator, telling us about credit conditions that typically turn worse a year or more before the economy turns down, and improve just at the economy is ready to turn up.
Still nerdy after all these years
- by New Deal democrat
The Senior Loan Officer Survey is a long leading indicator, telling us about credit conditions that typically turn worse a year or more before the economy turns down, and improve just at the economy is ready to turn up.
- by New Deal democrat
First, a brief programming note. This week is particularly sparse in the new economic data department. The Senior Loan Officer Survey will be reported this afternoon, and on Thursday as usual we get jobless claims. Aside from that, nada. So I might take a day or two off.
- by New Deal democrat
My “Weekly Indicators” post is up at Seeking Alpha.
Very little change this week in any of the indicators, but what there was had everything to do with the frame of reference, because all gas prices under $3/gallon have now dropped out of the three year reference period. Which means that - *relatively* speaking - gas prices are currently cheap!
As usual, clicking over and reading will bring you up to the virtual moment as to the state of the economy, and reward me with some pocket change for organizing it for you in a coherent format.
- by New Deal democrat
All three of these metrics came in negative, in the sense of the lowest gain in jobs since last October, and the 4th lowest in over 3 years. The unemployment rate increased. And average hourly wage growth decreased to its lowest rate in almost 3 years as well.
Here’s my in depth synopsis.
- by New Deal democrat
The snooze-a-thon in jobless claims continues, as both initial and continuing claims are well-behaved within the narrow range where they have been generally for the past six months.